Montevarchi Calcio vs Prato: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 31Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri, Montevarchi
The Footlab AI model makes Prato the favourite at 43%, against 31% for a draw and 26% for Montevarchi Calcio. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montevarchi Calcio vs Prato?
Prato starts as the favourite with a 151-point Elo edge (1,759 vs 1,609).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Montevarchi Calcio vs Prato
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Montevarchi Calcio
Not enough data to predict the Montevarchi Calcio lineup.
Prato
Not enough data to predict the Prato lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:04 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montevarchi Calcio have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Prato have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rondinella(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ternana(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Progresso(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Robur Siena(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Seravezza(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana(away) | 3-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sasso Marconi Zola(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Montevarchi Calcio wins, 1 draw, 2 Prato wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Prato 1-0 Montevarchi Calcio | Serie D - Girone E |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Montevarchi Calcio 0-0 Prato | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Prato 2-1 Montevarchi Calcio | Coppa Italia Serie D |
Last archived meeting: Prato vs Montevarchi Calcio on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Montevarchi Calcio score 0.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Prato score 1.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montevarchi Calcio | 0.8 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Prato | 1.7 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montevarchi Calcio sit 12th in Serie D - Girone E (7 points from 6 matches) and Prato sit 2nd (14 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Prato | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 14 |
| 12 | Montevarchi Calcio | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Montevarchi Calcio vs Prato?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montevarchi Calcio vs Prato?
- The Footlab AI model makes Prato the favourite at 43%, against 31% for a draw and 26% for Montevarchi Calcio.
- Where and when is Montevarchi Calcio vs Prato played?
- Montevarchi Calcio vs Prato is played on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 11, 2027TernanavsSan Donato Tavarnelle
- Apr 11, 2027LucchesevsMezzolara
- Apr 11, 2027Robur SienavsFlaminia
- Apr 11, 2027SeravezzavsGhivizzano Borgo Mozzano
- Apr 11, 2027GrassinavsSasso Marconi Zola
- Apr 11, 2027ProgressovsGavorrano
- Apr 11, 2027Tau AltopasciovsScandicci
- Apr 11, 2027RondinellavsTerranuova Traiana