Where and when is Montevarchi Calcio vs Prato played?

Montevarchi Calcio vs Prato is played on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri, in the Serie D - Girone E.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Montevarchi Calcio vs Prato: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 31Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri, Montevarchi

Montevarchi Calcio

Prato

The Footlab model makes Prato the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Montevarchi Calcio. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Montevarchi Calcio vs Prato?

A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Montevarchi Calcio (1,692) and Prato (1,786).

Montevarchi Calcio win31 %

Draw32 %

Prato win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montevarchi Calcio have 5 wins, 9 draws and 1 defeats; Prato have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Montevarchi Calcio
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	Figline(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026	Prato(away)	0-1	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026	Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(home)	1-0	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 19, 2026	Robur Siena(away)	0-0	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 12, 2026	Terranuova Traiana(home)	1-1	Serie D - Girone E

Prato
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 17, 2026	Seravezza(home)	1-2	Serie D - Girone E
May 10, 2026	Robur Siena(home)	3-1	Serie D - Girone E
May 3, 2026	Montevarchi Calcio(home)	1-0	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026	Sporting Trestina(away)	2-0	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 19, 2026	Grosseto(home)	1-0	Serie D - Girone E

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Montevarchi Calcio win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Prato win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Prato 1-0 Montevarchi Calcio	Serie D - Girone E
Dec 21, 2025	Montevarchi Calcio 0-0 Prato	Serie D - Girone E
Oct 8, 2025	Prato 2-1 Montevarchi Calcio	Coppa Italia Serie D

Last archived meeting: Prato vs Montevarchi Calcio on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Montevarchi Calcio score 0.7 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Prato score 1.6 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Montevarchi Calcio	0.7	0.3	10	4/15	0/15
Prato	1.6	0.6	10	5/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Montevarchi Calcio sit 9th in Serie D - Girone E (46 points from 34 matches) and Prato sit 2nd (63 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Prato	34	20	5	9	49	29	63
9	Montevarchi Calcio	34	10	16	8	28	32	46

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Montevarchi Calcio vs Prato?: The Footlab model makes Prato the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Montevarchi Calcio.
Where and when is Montevarchi Calcio vs Prato played?: Montevarchi Calcio vs Prato is played on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.