Tesla vs Pinheirense: prediction and stats
Paraense A3Regular Season - 5Kick-off on October 2, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Tesla the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Pinheirense. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tesla vs Pinheirense?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Tesla (1,575) and Pinheirense (1,610).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Tesla have 3 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Pinheirense have 2, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | Atletico Paraense(away) | 0-7 | Paraense A3 |
| Nov 3, 2025 | Atletico Paraense(home) | 1-5 | Paraense A3 |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Sport Belem(home) | 2-3 | Paraense A3 |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Tiradentes PA(away) | 3-0 | Paraense A3 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Sport Belem(away) | 0-3 | Paraense A3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 22, 2025 | Paragominas(away) | 1-3 | Paraense B1 |
| Jun 19, 2025 | Urumajó(home) | 2-2 | Paraense B1 |
| Jun 11, 2025 | Paragominas(home) | 1-1 | Paraense B1 |
| Jun 7, 2025 | Urumajó(away) | 0-2 | Paraense B1 |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Paragominas(home) | 1-1 | Paraense B1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Tesla score 1.5 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 11; Pinheirense score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tesla | 1.5 | 2.7 | 1 | 7/11 | 9/11 |
| Pinheirense | 1.0 | 1.4 | 2 | 7/10 | 3/10 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Tesla | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tesla vs Pinheirense?
- The Footlab model makes Tesla the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Pinheirense.
- Where and when is Tesla vs Pinheirense played?
- Tesla vs Pinheirense is played on October 2, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Paraense A3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.