Thailand vs Indonesia: result 4-2 and analysis
ASEAN ChampionshipGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 19, 2016 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Thammasat Stadium, Pathum Thani
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What was the result of Thailand vs Indonesia?
Thailand won 4-2 on November 19, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 4′P. NotechaiyaThailand
- 36′T. DangdaThailand
- 53′29679Indonesia
- 56′L. EliandryIndonesia
- 79′T. DangdaThailand
- 90′T. DangdaThailand
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Thailand have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Indonesia have 1, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2016 | Australia(home) | 2-2 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Oct 11, 2016 | Iraq(away) | 0-4 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Oct 6, 2016 | United Arab Emirates(away) | 1-3 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Sep 6, 2016 | Japan(home) | 0-2 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Sep 1, 2016 | Saudi Arabia(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2014 | Laos(home) | 5-1 | ASEAN Championship |
| Nov 25, 2014 | Philippines(away) | 0-4 | ASEAN Championship |
| Nov 22, 2014 | Vietnam(away) | 2-2 | ASEAN Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Thailand score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Indonesia score 2.3 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thailand | 1.6 | 1.4 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Indonesia | 2.3 | 2.3 | 0 | 2/3 | 3/3 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy