Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Gainare Tottori: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Shoda Shoyu Stadium, Maebashi
The Footlab model makes Thespakusatsu Gunma the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Gainare Tottori. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Gainare Tottori?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Thespakusatsu Gunma (1,663) and Gainare Tottori (1,694).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Thespakusatsu Gunma have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Gainare Tottori have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy(away) | 1-4 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Biwako Shiga(home) | 2-3 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Tohoku Gakuin University(away) | 3-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sagamihara(home) | 1-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kagoshima United(away) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Nagoya Grampus(away) | 3-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fukushima United(home) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 2-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ehime FC(away) | 0-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Osaka(home) | 1-1 | J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Thespakusatsu Gunma win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Gainare Tottori win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2025 | Gainare Tottori 3-1 Thespakusatsu Gunma | J3 League |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Thespakusatsu Gunma 2-0 Gainare Tottori | J3 League |
| Oct 20, 2019 | Gainare Tottori 1-0 Thespakusatsu Gunma | J3 League |
| Jun 9, 2019 | Thespakusatsu Gunma 5-0 Gainare Tottori | J3 League |
| Nov 11, 2018 | Thespakusatsu Gunma 3-3 Gainare Tottori | J3 League |
| Jul 28, 2018 | Gainare Tottori 1-2 Thespakusatsu Gunma | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Gainare Tottori vs Thespakusatsu Gunma on Sep 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Thespakusatsu Gunma score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gainare Tottori score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thespakusatsu Gunma | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Gainare Tottori | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Thespakusatsu Gunma sit 20th in J3 League (0 points from 3 matches) and Gainare Tottori sit 10th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Gainare Tottori | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 20 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Gainare Tottori?
- The Footlab model makes Thespakusatsu Gunma the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Gainare Tottori.
- Where and when is Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Gainare Tottori played?
- Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Gainare Tottori is played on December 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Shoda Shoyu Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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