Tochigi SC vs FC Gifu: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Kanseki Stadium, Utsunomiya
The Footlab model makes FC Gifu the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Tochigi SC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tochigi SC vs FC Gifu?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Tochigi SC (1,729) and FC Gifu (1,739).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tochigi SC have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; FC Gifu have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale(away) | 1-3 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kitakyushu(home) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Urayasu(home) | 2-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kanazawa(home) | 3-2 | J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Cerezo Osaka(away) | 1-3 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kagoshima United(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Toyama Shinjo(home) | 3-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kochi United(home) | 7-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Biwako Shiga(away) | 3-0 | J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Tochigi SC win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 FC Gifu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2025 | Tochigi SC 1-2 FC Gifu | J3 League |
| Apr 13, 2025 | FC Gifu 0-1 Tochigi SC | J3 League |
| Sep 7, 2019 | FC Gifu 0-0 Tochigi SC | J2 League |
| Apr 28, 2019 | Tochigi SC 1-1 FC Gifu | J2 League |
| Aug 4, 2018 | Tochigi SC 4-1 FC Gifu | J2 League |
| Mar 21, 2018 | FC Gifu 1-1 Tochigi SC | J2 League |
How many goals should we expect?
Tochigi SC score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; FC Gifu score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tochigi SC | 1.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| FC Gifu | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tochigi SC sit 8th in J3 League (5 points from 3 matches) and FC Gifu sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Gifu | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Tochigi SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tochigi SC vs FC Gifu?
- The Footlab model makes FC Gifu the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Tochigi SC.
- Where and when is Tochigi SC vs FC Gifu played?
- Tochigi SC vs FC Gifu is played on December 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Kanseki Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026Roasso KumamotovsKanazawa
- Dec 12, 2026Kamatamare SanukivsEhime FC
- Dec 12, 2026Thespakusatsu GunmavsGainare Tottori
- Dec 12, 2026KitakyushuvsFukushima United
- Dec 12, 2026FC RyukyuvsNara Club
- Dec 12, 2026Kagoshima UnitedvsMatsumoto Yamaga
- Dec 12, 2026Biwako ShigavsParceiro Nagano
- Dec 12, 2026Kochi UnitedvsRenofa Yamaguchi