Three Bridges vs Carshalton Athletic: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Jubilee Field, Crawley, West Sussex
The Footlab model makes Three Bridges the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Carshalton Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Three Bridges vs Carshalton Athletic?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Three Bridges (1,813) and Carshalton Athletic (1,793).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Three Bridges have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Carshalton Athletic have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Aveley(home) | 1-5 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dartford(home) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Faversham Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stanway Rovers(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cray Wanderers(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Whyteleafe(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dover(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Three Bridges win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Carshalton Athletic win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2014 | Three Bridges 4-1 Carshalton Athletic | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Three Bridges vs Carshalton Athletic on Oct 18, 2014
How many goals should we expect?
Three Bridges score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Carshalton Athletic score 1.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Three Bridges | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Carshalton Athletic | 1.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Three Bridges sit 22nd in Non League Premier - Isthmian (0 points from 4 matches) and Carshalton Athletic sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carshalton Athletic | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
| 22 | Three Bridges | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Three Bridges vs Carshalton Athletic?
- The Footlab model makes Three Bridges the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Carshalton Athletic.
- Where and when is Three Bridges vs Carshalton Athletic played?
- Three Bridges vs Carshalton Athletic is played on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Jubilee Field, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 31, 2026DartfordvsChatham Town
- Aug 31, 2026LeatherheadvsDulwich Hamlet
- Aug 31, 2026WhitehawkvsBurgess Hill Town
- Aug 31, 2026Brentwood TownvsMaldon & Tiptree
- Aug 31, 2026RamsgatevsWhyteleafe
- Aug 31, 2026CheshuntvsSt Albans City
- Aug 31, 2026Cray WanderersvsWelling United
- Aug 31, 2026LewesvsEastbourne Borough