Cray Wanderers vs Welling United: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Flamingo Park, London
The Footlab model makes Cray Wanderers the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Welling United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cray Wanderers vs Welling United?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Cray Wanderers (1,821) and Welling United (1,764).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cray Wanderers have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Welling United have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cheshunt(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dartford(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stanway Rovers(home) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Leatherhead(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Whitehawk(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cray Wanderers win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Welling United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Cray Wanderers 2-3 Welling United | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Welling United 0-2 Cray Wanderers | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Cray Wanderers 2-1 Welling United | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 5, 2022 | Cray Wanderers 0-2 Welling United | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 3, 2021 | Cray Wanderers 2-2 Welling United | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 11, 2012 | Cray Wanderers 0-1 Welling United | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Cray Wanderers vs Welling United on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cray Wanderers score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Welling United score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cray Wanderers | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Welling United | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cray Wanderers sit 15th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (5 points from 4 matches) and Welling United sit 3rd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Welling United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 15 | Cray Wanderers | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cray Wanderers vs Welling United?
- The Footlab model makes Cray Wanderers the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Welling United.
- Where and when is Cray Wanderers vs Welling United played?
- Cray Wanderers vs Welling United is played on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Flamingo Park, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 31, 2026DartfordvsChatham Town
- Aug 31, 2026LeatherheadvsDulwich Hamlet
- Aug 31, 2026WhitehawkvsBurgess Hill Town
- Aug 31, 2026Brentwood TownvsMaldon & Tiptree
- Aug 31, 2026RamsgatevsWhyteleafe
- Aug 31, 2026Three BridgesvsCarshalton Athletic
- Aug 31, 2026CheshuntvsSt Albans City
- Aug 31, 2026LewesvsEastbourne Borough