Match

Cray Wanderers vs Welling United: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Flamingo Park, London

Cray WanderersWelling United

The Footlab model makes Cray Wanderers the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Welling United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cray Wanderers vs Welling United?

A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Cray Wanderers (1,821) and Welling United (1,764).

Cray Wanderers win45 %
Draw24 %
Welling United win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cray Wanderers have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Welling United have 10, 2 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cray Wanderers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Eastbourne Borough(home)2-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Carshalton Athletic(away)1-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Cheshunt(home)0-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Wingate & Finchley(away)1-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Jul 14, 2026Folkestone Invicta(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Welling United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Dartford(away)3-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Stanway Rovers(home)4-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Leatherhead(away)1-4Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Whitehawk(home)2-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 1, 2026Folkestone Invicta(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cray Wanderers win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Welling United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Cray Wanderers 2-3 Welling UnitedNon League Premier - Isthmian
Nov 15, 2025Welling United 0-2 Cray WanderersNon League Premier - Isthmian
Jul 8, 2023Cray Wanderers 2-1 Welling UnitedFriendlies Clubs
Jul 5, 2022Cray Wanderers 0-2 Welling UnitedFriendlies Clubs
Aug 3, 2021Cray Wanderers 2-2 Welling UnitedFriendlies Clubs
Nov 11, 2012Cray Wanderers 0-1 Welling UnitedFA Trophy

Last archived meeting: Cray Wanderers vs Welling United on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cray Wanderers score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Welling United score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cray Wanderers1.91.5411/1512/15
Welling United2.01.358/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cray Wanderers sit 15th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (5 points from 4 matches) and Welling United sit 3rd (9 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Welling United43011049
15Cray Wanderers4121445

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cray Wanderers vs Welling United?
The Footlab model makes Cray Wanderers the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Welling United.
Where and when is Cray Wanderers vs Welling United played?
Cray Wanderers vs Welling United is played on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Flamingo Park, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Cray Wanderers and Welling United

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