Tienen vs Roeselare Daisel: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 4Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Bergéstadion, Tirlemont
The Footlab model makes Roeselare Daisel the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Tienen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tienen vs Roeselare Daisel?
Roeselare Daisel starts as the favourite with a 182-point Elo edge (1,960 vs 1,778).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tienen have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Roeselare Daisel have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Hoogstraten(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Knokke(away) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Dessel Sport(home) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Spouwen-Mopertingen(away) | 2-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Diegem Sport(home) | 5-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Thes Sport(home) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Merelbeke(away) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Diegem Sport(home) | 2-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Hoogstraten(away) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Spouwen-Mopertingen(home) | 0-1 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Tienen win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Roeselare Daisel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | Roeselare Daisel 0-0 Tienen | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Tienen 0-3 Roeselare Daisel | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Roeselare Daisel vs Tienen on Dec 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Tienen score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Roeselare Daisel score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tienen | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Roeselare Daisel | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tienen sit 15th in First Amateur Division (11 points from 12 matches) and Roeselare Daisel sit 2nd (23 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Roeselare Daisel | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 23 |
| 15 | Tienen | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tienen vs Roeselare Daisel?
- The Footlab model makes Roeselare Daisel the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Tienen.
- Where and when is Tienen vs Roeselare Daisel played?
- Tienen vs Roeselare Daisel is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Bergéstadion, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.