Knokke vs Spouwen-Mopertingen: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 4Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Olivier, Knokke-Heist
The Footlab model makes Knokke the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Spouwen-Mopertingen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Knokke vs Spouwen-Mopertingen?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Knokke (1,951) and Spouwen-Mopertingen (1,880).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Knokke have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Spouwen-Mopertingen have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kortrijk(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Zelzate(away) | 3-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Tienen(home) | 2-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Ninove(away) | 4-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar(home) | 1-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Diegem Sport(away) | 3-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Zelzate(home) | 5-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Cercle Brugge II(away) | 5-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Tienen(home) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Knokke win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Spouwen-Mopertingen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Spouwen-Mopertingen 2-3 Knokke | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Knokke 0-3 Spouwen-Mopertingen | First Amateur Division |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Spouwen-Mopertingen 2-2 Knokke | First Amateur Division |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Knokke 1-1 Spouwen-Mopertingen | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Knokke on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Knokke score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Spouwen-Mopertingen score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knokke | 2.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Spouwen-Mopertingen | 2.1 | 1.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Knokke sit 10th in First Amateur Division (14 points from 11 matches) and Spouwen-Mopertingen sit 1st (25 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spouwen-Mopertingen | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 17 | 25 |
| 10 | Knokke | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 22 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Knokke vs Spouwen-Mopertingen?
- The Footlab model makes Knokke the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Spouwen-Mopertingen.
- Where and when is Knokke vs Spouwen-Mopertingen played?
- Knokke vs Spouwen-Mopertingen is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Olivier, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.