Tikveš vs Shkendija: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Gradski Stadion, Kavadarci
The Footlab AI model makes Tikveš the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Shkendija. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tikveš wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tikveš vs Shkendija?
On Elo ratings, Tikveš has 1,661 points and Shkendija 1,789.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tikveš vs Shkendija
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tikveš
4-3-3- 11N'fanly Sylla
- 22Toheeb Lawal
- 7Lucianinho
- 15T. Nikolovski
- 23E. O. Wisdom
- 34K. Ackovski
- 6B. Ramadani
- 4I. Fall
- 21A. Varelovski
- 74Renatinho
- 1H. Stevkovski
Shkendija
4-2-3-1- 29F. Tamba
- 17A. Zejnullai
- 11A. Kryeziu
- 5D. Islami
- 10E. Krasniqi
- 8Rafael Freitas
- 2A. Trumçi
- 55J. Manev
- 26Anes Meljichi
- 23B. Dimoski
- 24B. Gaye
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tikveš have 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 defeat; Shkendija have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bregalnica Štip(home) | 3-0 | First League |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Krosu Sport Bitola(away) | 13-0 | Cup |
| Oct 2, 2026 | FK Rabotnicki(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sileks(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Struga(home) | 2-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Shkëndija Haraçinë(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Llapi(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Bashkimi Kumanovo(home) | 4-1 | First League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Aresimi(away) | 2-2 | First League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Tikveš(home) | 1-3 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tikveš win, 0 draws, 5 Shkendija wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | Shkendija 1-3 Tikveš | First League |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Tikveš 1-4 Shkendija | First League |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Tikveš 1-4 Shkendija | First League |
| Nov 19, 2025 | Shkendija 2-0 Tikveš | Cup |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Shkendija 1-0 Tikveš | First League |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Tikveš 0-1 Shkendija | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
Tikveš score 2.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Shkendija score 1.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tikveš | 2.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Shkendija | 1.8 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tikveš sit 4th in First League (16 points from 9 matches) and Shkendija sit 1st (20 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shkendija | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 20 |
| 4 | Tikveš | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 7 | 16 |
A question about Tikveš vs Shkendija?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tikveš vs Shkendija?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tikveš the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Shkendija.
- Where and when is Tikveš vs Shkendija played?
- Tikveš vs Shkendija is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski Stadion, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.