Tikveš vs Shkendija: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Gradski Stadion, Kavadarci
The Footlab model makes Shkendija the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Tikveš. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tikveš vs Shkendija?
Shkendija starts as the favourite with a 204-point Elo edge (1,826 vs 1,622).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tikveš have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Shkendija have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Skopje(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shkëndija Haraçinë(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bashkimi Kumanovo(away) | 5-0 | First League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Aresimi(home) | 5-1 | First League |
| May 25, 2026 | FK Rabotnicki(away) | 3-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Struga(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bregalnica Štip(home) | 4-1 | First League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Hibernian(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vardar Skopje(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Hibernian(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Tikveš win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Shkendija win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Tikveš 1-4 Shkendija | First League |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Tikveš 1-4 Shkendija | First League |
| Nov 19, 2025 | Shkendija 2-0 Tikveš | Cup |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Shkendija 1-0 Tikveš | First League |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Tikveš 0-1 Shkendija | First League |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Shkendija 1-0 Tikveš | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
Tikveš score 2.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Shkendija score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tikveš | 2.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Shkendija | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tikveš sit 2nd in First League (7 points from 4 matches) and Shkendija sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shkendija | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 12 |
| 2 | Tikveš | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tikveš vs Shkendija?
- The Footlab model makes Shkendija the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Tikveš.
- Where and when is Tikveš vs Shkendija played?
- Tikveš vs Shkendija is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski Stadion, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.