Tira vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 14Kick-off on December 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Tira Municipal Stadium, Tira
The Footlab model makes Tira the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Hapoel Ironi Karmiel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tira vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Tira (1,785) and Hapoel Ironi Karmiel (1,694).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tira have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Hapoel Ironi Karmiel have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(away) | 3-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Tira(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus(home) | 2-3 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Tira win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2026 | Tira 0-0 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | Liga Alef |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 3-5 Tira | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Tira vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel on Feb 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tira score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Ironi Karmiel score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tira | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tira sit 2nd in Liga Alef (42 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Ironi Karmiel sit 5th (33 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Tira | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 42 | 23 | 42 |
| 5 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 23 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tira vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel?
- The Footlab model makes Tira the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Hapoel Ironi Karmiel.
- Where and when is Tira vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel played?
- Tira vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel is played on December 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Tira Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 15, 2026Ironi NeshervsHapoel Umm al-Fahm
- Dec 15, 2026Hapoel Bnei MusmusvsHapoel Beit Shean
- Dec 15, 2026Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsHapoel Nazareth Illit
- Dec 15, 2026Hapoel Migdal HaEmekvsBeitar Nahariya
- Dec 15, 2026Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvsHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
- Dec 15, 2026Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedvsIroni Baka El Garbiya
- Dec 15, 2026Maccabi K. Ata BialikvsTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
- Dec 15, 2026Hapoel Ironi ArrabavsTzeirey Tamra