Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 14Kick-off on December 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Kaukab Stadium, Kaukab Abu al-Hija
The Footlab model makes Ironi Baka El Garbiya the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
Ironi Baka El Garbiya starts as the favourite with a 187-point Elo edge (1,702 vs 1,515).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Ironi Baka El Garbiya have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 26, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(home) | 4-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Ironi Baka El Garbiya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 2-1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya | Liga Alef |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya 3-0 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2025 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 2-2 Ironi Baka El Garbiya | Liga Alef |
| Sep 6, 2024 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya 2-0 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | Liga Alef |
| Feb 26, 2024 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 1-2 Ironi Baka El Garbiya | Liga Alef |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya 2-0 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya on Jan 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ironi Baka El Garbiya score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Ironi Baka El Garbiya | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed sit 14th in Liga Alef (17 points from 21 matches) and Ironi Baka El Garbiya sit 9th (31 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 31 |
| 14 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 36 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
- The Footlab model makes Ironi Baka El Garbiya the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed.
- Where and when is Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya played?
- Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya is played on December 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Kaukab Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 15, 2026Ironi NeshervsHapoel Umm al-Fahm
- Dec 15, 2026Hapoel Bnei MusmusvsHapoel Beit Shean
- Dec 15, 2026Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsHapoel Nazareth Illit
- Dec 15, 2026Hapoel Migdal HaEmekvsBeitar Nahariya
- Dec 15, 2026Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvsHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
- Dec 15, 2026TiravsHapoel Ironi Karmiel
- Dec 15, 2026Maccabi K. Ata BialikvsTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
- Dec 15, 2026Hapoel Ironi ArrabavsTzeirey Tamra