Maccabi Neve Sha'anan vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 14Kick-off on December 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Athos Haifa Lot 1, Haifa
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Neve Sha'anan the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Neve Sha'anan vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel?
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan starts as the favourite with a 153-point Elo edge (1,674 vs 1,521).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Neve Sha'anan have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(home) | 3-5 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(away) | 1-4 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Maccabi Neve Sha'anan win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan 2-0 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | Liga Alef |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 0-1 Maccabi Neve Sha'anan | State Cup |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Neve Sha'anan vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel on Jan 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel score 0.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Neve Sha'anan | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | 0.6 | 1.9 | 1 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan sit 4th in Liga Alef (36 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel sit 15th (12 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 29 | 36 |
| 15 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 42 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Neve Sha'anan vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Neve Sha'anan the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel.
- Where and when is Maccabi Neve Sha'anan vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel played?
- Maccabi Neve Sha'anan vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel is played on December 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Athos Haifa Lot 1, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 15, 2026Ironi NeshervsHapoel Umm al-Fahm
- Dec 15, 2026Hapoel Bnei MusmusvsHapoel Beit Shean
- Dec 15, 2026Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsHapoel Nazareth Illit
- Dec 15, 2026Hapoel Migdal HaEmekvsBeitar Nahariya
- Dec 15, 2026Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedvsIroni Baka El Garbiya
- Dec 15, 2026TiravsHapoel Ironi Karmiel
- Dec 15, 2026Maccabi K. Ata BialikvsTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
- Dec 15, 2026Hapoel Ironi ArrabavsTzeirey Tamra