Maccabi K. Ata Bialik vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 14Kick-off on December 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Kiryat Yam Synthetic, Kiryat Yam
The Footlab model makes Maccabi K. Ata Bialik the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi K. Ata Bialik vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Maccabi K. Ata Bialik (1,745) and Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm (1,657).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi K. Ata Bialik have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(away) | 5-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Maccabi K. Ata Bialik win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2025 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik 1-1 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | Liga Alef |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 0-3 Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | State Cup |
| Dec 10, 2024 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik 1-3 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | Liga Alef |
| Feb 26, 2024 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik 2-1 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | Liga Alef |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 0-1 Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi K. Ata Bialik vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm on Nov 7, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik sit 3rd in Liga Alef (38 points from 22 matches) and Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm sit 10th (30 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 35 | 21 | 38 |
| 10 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi K. Ata Bialik vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi K. Ata Bialik the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm.
- Where and when is Maccabi K. Ata Bialik vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm played?
- Maccabi K. Ata Bialik vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm is played on December 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Kiryat Yam Synthetic, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 15, 2026Ironi NeshervsHapoel Umm al-Fahm
- Dec 15, 2026Hapoel Bnei MusmusvsHapoel Beit Shean
- Dec 15, 2026Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsHapoel Nazareth Illit
- Dec 15, 2026Hapoel Migdal HaEmekvsBeitar Nahariya
- Dec 15, 2026Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvsHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
- Dec 15, 2026Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedvsIroni Baka El Garbiya
- Dec 15, 2026TiravsHapoel Ironi Karmiel
- Dec 15, 2026Hapoel Ironi ArrabavsTzeirey Tamra