Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 13Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Baqa al-Gharbiyye Stadium, Baqa al-Gharbiyye
The Footlab model makes Maccabi K. Ata Bialik the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Ironi Baka El Garbiya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Ironi Baka El Garbiya (1,702) and Maccabi K. Ata Bialik (1,745).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ironi Baka El Garbiya have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Maccabi K. Ata Bialik have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(home) | 4-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(away) | 5-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ironi Baka El Garbiya win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Maccabi K. Ata Bialik win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik 1-0 Ironi Baka El Garbiya | Liga Alef |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya 2-1 Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | Liga Alef |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik 0-1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya | Liga Alef |
| Nov 22, 2024 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya 1-1 Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | Liga Alef |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik 0-0 Ironi Baka El Garbiya | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2024 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya 1-0 Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi K. Ata Bialik vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ironi Baka El Garbiya score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi K. Ata Bialik score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ironi Baka El Garbiya | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ironi Baka El Garbiya sit 9th in Liga Alef (31 points from 22 matches) and Maccabi K. Ata Bialik sit 3rd (38 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 35 | 21 | 38 |
| 9 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi K. Ata Bialik the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Ironi Baka El Garbiya.
- Where and when is Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik played?
- Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik is played on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Baqa al-Gharbiyye Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsHapoel Ironi Arraba
- Dec 12, 2026Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsMaccabi Neve Sha'anan
- Dec 12, 2026Ironi NeshervsHapoel Migdal HaEmek
- Dec 12, 2026Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelvsHapoel Bnei Musmus
- Dec 12, 2026Hapoel Beit SheanvsHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
- Dec 12, 2026Hapoel Ironi KarmielvsBeitar Nahariya
- Dec 12, 2026Tzeirey TamravsMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
- Dec 12, 2026Tzeirei Umm al-FahmvsTira