FC Gifu vs Tochigi SC: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Nagaragawa Stadium, Gifu
The Footlab model makes FC Gifu the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Tochigi SC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Gifu vs Tochigi SC?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate FC Gifu (1,739) and Tochigi SC (1,728).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Gifu have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Tochigi SC have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kagoshima United(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Toyama Shinjo(home) | 3-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kochi United(home) | 7-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Biwako Shiga(away) | 3-0 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(home) | 1-1 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kitakyushu(home) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Urayasu(home) | 2-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kanazawa(home) | 3-2 | J3 League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Kitakyushu(home) | 2-1 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Gifu win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Tochigi SC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2025 | Tochigi SC 1-2 FC Gifu | J3 League |
| Apr 13, 2025 | FC Gifu 0-1 Tochigi SC | J3 League |
| Sep 7, 2019 | FC Gifu 0-0 Tochigi SC | J2 League |
| Apr 28, 2019 | Tochigi SC 1-1 FC Gifu | J2 League |
| Aug 4, 2018 | Tochigi SC 4-1 FC Gifu | J2 League |
| Mar 21, 2018 | FC Gifu 1-1 Tochigi SC | J2 League |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Gifu score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Tochigi SC score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Gifu | 1.6 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Tochigi SC | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Gifu sit 1st in J3 League (7 points from 3 matches) and Tochigi SC sit 8th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Gifu | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Tochigi SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Gifu vs Tochigi SC?
- The Footlab model makes FC Gifu the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Tochigi SC.
- Where and when is FC Gifu vs Tochigi SC played?
- FC Gifu vs Tochigi SC is played on August 29, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Nagaragawa Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026Kamatamare SanukivsKagoshima United
- Aug 29, 2026FC RyukyuvsSagamihara
- Aug 29, 2026Fukushima UnitedvsNara Club
- Aug 30, 2026Parceiro NaganovsThespakusatsu Gunma
- Aug 30, 2026KitakyushuvsMatsumoto Yamaga
- Aug 30, 2026Biwako ShigavsGainare Tottori
- Aug 30, 2026Kochi UnitedvsRoasso Kumamoto
- Aug 30, 2026KanazawavsEhime FC