Toledo vs Marchamalo: result 3-1 and analysis
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Group 18 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2025 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Salto del Caballo, Toledo
Full time
What was the result of Toledo vs Marchamalo?
Toledo won 3-1 on September 27, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 5′L. MolinaToledo
- 22′612200Marchamalo
- 60′S. NanclaresToledo
- 78′L. MolinaToledo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toledo have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Marchamalo have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2025 | Azuqueca(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 17, 2025 | CD Coria(home) | 1-0 | Copa Federacion |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Villarrubia(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 10, 2025 | Laguna(away) | 2-1 | Copa Federacion |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Tarancón(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2025 | Cazalegas(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Huracán Balazote(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Guadalajara II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| May 9, 2025 | Noblejas(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| May 4, 2025 | Toledo(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Toledo wins, 2 draws, 0 Marchamalo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2025 | Marchamalo 0-1 Toledo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Toledo 2-0 Marchamalo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Marchamalo 0-0 Toledo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Toledo 4-0 Marchamalo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 6, 2023 | Marchamalo 0-1 Toledo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Dec 11, 2022 | Toledo 0-0 Marchamalo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
How many goals should we expect?
Toledo score 0.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Marchamalo score 1.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo | 0.9 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Marchamalo | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toledo sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 (10 points from 5 matches) and Marchamalo sit 9th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Toledo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 10 |
| 9 | Marchamalo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 8 |
A question about Toledo vs Marchamalo?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy