Tolmin vs Ilirija: result 3-2 and analysis
2. SNLRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 21, 2023 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Na Brajdi, Tolmin
Full time
What was the result of Tolmin vs Ilirija?
Tolmin won 3-2 on October 21, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 17′R. KerrebijnTolmin
- 33′D. FrelihTolmin
- 34′M. RoričIlirija
- 36′J. ŠturmIlirija (o.g.)
- 52′R. ProdanovićTolmin (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tolmin have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Ilirija have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2023 | Bistrica(away) | 1-0 | 2. SNL |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Krka(home) | 1-3 | 2. SNL |
| Oct 4, 2023 | Bilje(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Dravinja(away) | 1-1 | 2. SNL |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Dekani(home) | 2-2 | 2. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2023 | Beltinci(home) | 0-0 | 2. SNL |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Tabor Sežana(away) | 3-0 | 2. SNL |
| Oct 4, 2023 | Krka(home) | 3-2 | Cup |
| Sep 29, 2023 | Primorje(home) | 0-0 | 2. SNL |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Fužinar(away) | 2-3 | 2. SNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Tolmin win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Ilirija win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2020 | Tolmin 2-2 Ilirija | 3. SNL - West |
How many goals should we expect?
Tolmin score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ilirija score 1.3 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tolmin | 0.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Ilirija | 1.3 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ilirija | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy