Toluca vs Atlas: result 1-1 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - 11Kick-off on March 15, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Atlas?
Toluca and Atlas drew 1-1 on March 15, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 90′J. AnguloToluca
- 90′V. RÃosAtlas
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Atlas have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | San Diego(away) | 2-3 | CONCACAF Champions League |
| Mar 8, 2026 | FC Juarez(home) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Mar 4, 2026 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(away) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Necaxa(away) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Club Tijuana(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Feb 28, 2026 | FC Juarez(away) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Feb 14, 2026 | CF Pachuca(away) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Toluca win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Atlas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | Atlas 0-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Atlas 2-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Toluca 4-1 Atlas | Liga MX |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Toluca 4-1 Atlas | Liga MX |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Atlas 0-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 2, 2023 | Atlas 0-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Atlas score 1.7 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Atlas | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Atlas sit 9th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Atlas | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Toluca | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | Atlas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy