Toluca vs Atlas: result 3-2 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 2Kick-off on July 10, 2022 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
Full time
What was the result of Toluca vs Atlas?
Toluca won 3-2 on July 10, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 3′L. FernándezToluca
- 10′F. NavarroToluca
- 15′V. HuertaToluca
- 43′A. OcejoAtlas
- 84′A. RochaAtlas
Official lineup for Toluca vs Atlas
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Toluca
4-3-2-1- 32C. González
- 16J. Meneses
- 10L. Fernández
- 14M. Ruiz
- 23C. Baeza
- 18F. Navarro
- 21B. Angulo
- 4V. Huerta
- 26A. Mosquera
- 2R. López
- 1Tiago Volpi
Atlas
5-3-2- 7O. Herrera
- 20A. Ocejo
- 6É. Zaldívar
- 26A. Rocha
- 14L. Reyes
- 8A. Chalá
- 29E. Aguilera
- 2M. Nervo
- 5A. Santamaría
- 4J. Abella
- 12C. Vargas
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Atlas have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2, 2022 | Necaxa(away) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| May 2, 2022 | Leon(away) | 4-4 | Liga MX |
| Apr 24, 2022 | Atlas(home) | 2-4 | Liga MX |
| Apr 20, 2022 | FC Juarez(home) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Tigres UANL(away) | 0-3 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 2022 | Club America(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Jun 27, 2022 | Cruz Azul(home) | 2-2 | Campeón de Campeones |
| May 30, 2022 | CF Pachuca(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| May 27, 2022 | CF Pachuca(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| May 22, 2022 | Tigres UANL(away) | 2-4 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Toluca wins, 2 draws, 2 Atlas wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | Toluca 2-4 Atlas | Liga MX |
| Aug 21, 2021 | Atlas 0-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 27, 2021 | Toluca 0-0 Atlas | Liga MX |
| Aug 14, 2020 | Atlas 1-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Mar 15, 2020 | Toluca 2-3 Atlas | Liga MX |
| Jan 29, 2020 | Toluca 3-2 Atlas | Copa MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Atlas score 1.5 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Atlas | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 2nd in Liga MX (20 points from 11 matches) and Atlas sit 6th (18 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 20 |
| 6 | Atlas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 18 | 18 |
A question about Toluca vs Atlas?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy