Toluca vs Atlas: result 3-2 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 2Kick-off on July 10, 2022 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
Full time
What was the result of Toluca vs Atlas?
Toluca won 3-2 on July 10, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 3′L. FernándezToluca
- 10′F. NavarroToluca
- 15′V. HuertaToluca
- 43′A. OcejoAtlas
- 84′A. RochaAtlas
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Atlas have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2, 2022 | Necaxa(away) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| May 2, 2022 | Leon(away) | 4-4 | Liga MX |
| Apr 24, 2022 | Atlas(home) | 2-4 | Liga MX |
| Apr 20, 2022 | FC Juarez(home) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Tigres UANL(away) | 0-3 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 2022 | Club America(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Jun 27, 2022 | Cruz Azul(home) | 2-2 | Campeón de Campeones |
| May 30, 2022 | CF Pachuca(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| May 27, 2022 | CF Pachuca(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| May 22, 2022 | Tigres UANL(away) | 2-4 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Toluca win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Atlas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | Toluca 2-4 Atlas | Liga MX |
| Aug 21, 2021 | Atlas 0-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 27, 2021 | Toluca 0-0 Atlas | Liga MX |
| Aug 14, 2020 | Atlas 1-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Mar 15, 2020 | Toluca 2-3 Atlas | Liga MX |
| Jan 29, 2020 | Toluca 3-2 Atlas | Copa MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Atlas score 1.5 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Atlas | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Atlas sit 9th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Atlas | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Atlas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy