Match

Monterrey vs CF Pachuca: prediction and stats

Liga MXApertura - 12Kick-off on October 19, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio BBVA, Guadalupe

MonterreyCF Pachuca

The Footlab AI model makes Monterrey the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for CF Pachuca. The most likely score is 1-1. If Monterrey wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Monterrey vs CF Pachuca?

On Elo ratings, Monterrey has 1,935 points and CF Pachuca 1,959.

55%24%21%
Monterrey winDrawCF Pachuca win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Monterrey vs CF Pachuca

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Monterrey

4-2-3-1
  1. 99H. Cuypers
  1. 17J. Corona
  2. 8Óliver Torres
  3. 10L. Orellano
  4. 18Cesar Garza Cantu
  5. 7L. Ocampos
  1. 2R. Chávez
  2. 13C. Salcedo
  3. 3G. Arteaga
  4. 19A. Aceves
  1. 1E. Andrada

CF Pachuca

4-2-3-1
  1. 23S. Rondón
  1. 16C. Rivera
  2. 26Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez
  3. 30S. Rodríguez
  4. 11O. Idrissi
  5. 6M. Isaís
  1. 2S. Barreto
  2. 15F. Venegas
  3. 4Eduardo Bauermann
  4. 14C. Sánchez
  1. 25C. Moreno

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 06:28 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Monterrey have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; CF Pachuca have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Monterrey
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Toluca(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 26, 2026Atlante FC(away)2-4Liga MX
Sep 20, 2026Cruz Azul(home)1-0Liga MX
Sep 13, 2026Tigres UANL(home)0-0Liga MX
Sep 7, 2026Toluca(away)0-2Leagues Cup
CF Pachuca
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 27, 2026Santos Laguna(away)0-1Liga MX
Sep 21, 2026Club Tijuana(home)2-2Liga MX
Sep 12, 2026Atlante FC(away)3-0Liga MX
Sep 5, 2026FC Juarez(away)2-0Liga MX
Aug 29, 2026Guadalajara Chivas(home)1-1Liga MX

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Monterrey wins, 0 draws, 4 CF Pachuca wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 19, 2026Monterrey 1-3 CF PachucaLiga MX
Jul 13, 2025CF Pachuca 3-0 MonterreyLiga MX
Apr 28, 2025Monterrey 1-2 CF PachucaLiga MX
Jan 26, 2025Monterrey 2-3 CF PachucaLiga MX
Jul 8, 2024CF Pachuca 0-1 MonterreyLiga MX
Feb 11, 2024Monterrey 3-2 CF PachucaLiga MX

Last archived meeting: Monterrey vs CF Pachuca on Apr 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Monterrey score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; CF Pachuca score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Monterrey1.61.5310/1510/15
CF Pachuca1.31.157/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Monterrey sit 10th in Liga MX (13 points from 9 matches) and CF Pachuca sit 11th (12 points from 10 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Monterrey9414161413
11CF Pachuca10334151112

A question about Monterrey vs CF Pachuca?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Monterrey vs CF Pachuca?
The Footlab AI model makes Monterrey the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for CF Pachuca.
Where and when is Monterrey vs CF Pachuca played?
Monterrey vs CF Pachuca is played on October 19, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio BBVA, in the Liga MX.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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