Toluca vs Cruz Azul: result 1-1 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - 5Kick-off on February 7, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Cruz Azul?
Toluca and Cruz Azul drew 1-1 on February 7, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 41′PaulinhoToluca
- 77′J. ParadelaCruz Azul
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Cruz Azul have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Puebla(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Tigres UANL(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Santos Laguna(home) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Monterrey(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Dec 15, 2025 | Tigres UANL(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | Vancouver FC(away) | 3-0 | CONCACAF Champions League |
| Jan 31, 2026 | FC Juarez(away) | 4-3 | Liga MX |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Puebla(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Atlas(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Leon(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Toluca win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Cruz Azul win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2025 | Cruz Azul 1-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Toluca 2-2 Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Cruz Azul 1-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Toluca 0-1 Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Cruz Azul 0-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Toluca 3-1 Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.3 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Cruz Azul score 1.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.3 | 0.6 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Cruz Azul | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Cruz Azul sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Toluca | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy