Toluca vs Cruz Azul: result 1-3 and analysis
Campeón de CampeonesFinalKick-off on July 26, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Cruz Azul?
Cruz Azul won 1-3 on July 26, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 31′J. ParadelaCruz Azul
- 45′A. VegaToluca
- 55′C. RodríguezCruz Azul
- 61′J. ParadelaCruz Azul
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Cruz Azul have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| May 31, 2026 | Tigres UANL(home) | 1-1 | CONCACAF Champions League |
| May 10, 2026 | CF Pachuca(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| May 7, 2026 | Los Angeles FC(home) | 4-0 | CONCACAF Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | Puebla(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Atletico San Luis(away) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| May 25, 2026 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| May 22, 2026 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| May 17, 2026 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Toluca win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Cruz Azul win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Toluca 1-1 Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Cruz Azul 1-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Toluca 2-2 Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Cruz Azul 1-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Toluca 0-1 Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Cruz Azul 0-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cruz Azul score 1.6 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Cruz Azul | 1.6 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy