Toluca vs Cruz Azul: result 3-1 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - 6Kick-off on February 12, 2023 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Cruz Azul?
Toluca won 3-1 on February 12, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 28′C. RotondiCruz Azul
- 32′M. AraújoToluca
- 54′M. AraújoToluca
- 87′S. SaucedoToluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Cruz Azul have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2023 | Monterrey(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Feb 2, 2023 | Atlas(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Leon(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Jan 15, 2023 | Club America(home) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2023 | Atlanta United FC(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 5, 2023 | Tigres UANL(home) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Necaxa(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Monterrey(home) | 2-3 | Liga MX |
| Jan 9, 2023 | Club Tijuana(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Toluca win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Cruz Azul win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2022 | Toluca 1-1 Cruz Azul | Copa por México |
| Aug 14, 2022 | Cruz Azul 2-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 21, 2022 | Toluca 1-4 Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
| Aug 15, 2021 | Cruz Azul 4-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| May 16, 2021 | Cruz Azul 3-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| May 13, 2021 | Toluca 2-1 Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Cruz Azul score 1.2 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Cruz Azul | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Cruz Azul sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 | Cruz Azul | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy