Toluca vs Monterrey: result 2-1 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - Quarter-finalsKick-off on May 11, 2025 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Monterrey?
Toluca won 2-1 on May 11, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 30′A. VegaToluca
- 48′R. de la RosaMonterrey
- 68′PaulinhoToluca
Official lineup for Toluca vs Monterrey
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Toluca
4-2-3-1- 26Paulinho
- 9A. Vega
- 10J. Angulo
- 11Helinho
- 14M. Ruiz
- 16H. Herrera
- 20J. Gallardo
- 6F. Pereira
- 13Luan
- 2D. Barbosa
- 22L. García
Monterrey
4-2-3-1- 7G. Berterame
- 204Iker Jareth Fimbres Ochoa
- 10Sergio Canales
- 25N. Deossa
- 5F. Ambríz
- 33S. Medina
- 3G. Arteaga
- 4V. Guzmán
- 30J. Rodríguez
- 2R. Chávez
- 1E. Andrada
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Monterrey have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2025 | Monterrey(away) | 2-3 | Liga MX |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Cruz Azul(home) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Atletico San Luis(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Atlas(away) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Apr 7, 2025 | Santos Laguna(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2025 | Toluca(home) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| May 5, 2025 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Apr 28, 2025 | CF Pachuca(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Leon(away) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Club America(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Toluca wins, 2 draws, 2 Monterrey wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2025 | Monterrey 3-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Toluca 1-1 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Monterrey 1-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 19, 2024 | Monterrey 0-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Aug 31, 2023 | Toluca 1-0 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Feb 6, 2023 | Monterrey 2-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 2.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Monterrey score 1.9 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 2.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Monterrey | 1.9 | 1.2 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 2nd in Liga MX (20 points from 11 matches) and Monterrey sit 10th (14 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 20 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 14 |
A question about Toluca vs Monterrey?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy