Toluca vs Puebla: result 5-0 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 13Kick-off on October 23, 2024 at 03:05 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Puebla?
Toluca won 5-0 on October 23, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 15′F. PereiraToluca
- 37′I. ViolanteToluca
- 52′A. VegaToluca
- 56′PaulinhoToluca
- 90′PaulinhoToluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Puebla have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | Club Queretaro(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Oct 6, 2024 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Atlas(home) | 4-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 23, 2024 | Santos Laguna(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 18, 2024 | CF Pachuca(away) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | Cruz Azul(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Tigres UANL(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 28, 2024 | FC Juarez(home) | 2-3 | Liga MX |
| Sep 21, 2024 | CF Pachuca(home) | 2-3 | Liga MX |
| Sep 18, 2024 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Toluca win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Puebla win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | Puebla 1-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Nov 1, 2023 | Toluca 0-1 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Jun 24, 2023 | Toluca 1-1 Puebla | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Puebla 1-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Aug 3, 2022 | Toluca 1-1 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Apr 3, 2022 | Toluca 2-1 Puebla | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Puebla score 1.1 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 2.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Puebla | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Puebla sit 11th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Puebla | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 11 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy