Toluca vs Tigres UANL: result 2-1 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - 10Kick-off on March 2, 2024 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
Full time
What was the result of Toluca vs Tigres UANL?
Toluca won 2-1 on March 2, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 35′O. HerreraTigres UANL
- 54′A. VegaToluca
- 71′Tiago VolpiToluca (pen.)
Official lineup for Toluca vs Tigres UANL
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Toluca
4-2-3-1- 14M. Ruiz
- 16J. Meneses
- 25A. Vega
- 7J. Domínguez
- 5T. Belmonte
- 23C. Baeza
- 17B. García
- 24J. Escobar
- 6F. Pereira
- 8C. Orrantía
- 1Tiago Volpi
Tigres UANL
4-2-3-1- 9N. Ibáñez
- 24M. Flores
- 17S. Córdova
- 29O. Herrera
- 8F. Gorriarán
- 26S. Fierro
- 14J. Garza
- 3Samir
- 19G. Pizarro
- 20J. Aquino
- 1N. Guzmán
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Tigres UANL have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | Club Tijuana(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Feb 22, 2024 | Santos Laguna(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Feb 19, 2024 | Monterrey(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Feb 16, 2024 | CS Herediano(home) | 2-3 | CONCACAF Champions League |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Necaxa(away) | 3-3 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2024 | FC Juarez(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Atlas(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Cruz Azul(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Feb 15, 2024 | Vancouver Whitecaps(home) | 3-0 | CONCACAF Champions League |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Santos Laguna(away) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Toluca wins, 1 draw, 3 Tigres UANL wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2023 | Tigres UANL 2-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| May 14, 2023 | Toluca 3-1 Tigres UANL | Liga MX |
| May 12, 2023 | Tigres UANL 4-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Toluca 3-2 Tigres UANL | Liga MX |
| Sep 8, 2022 | Tigres UANL 3-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Tigres UANL 3-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Tigres UANL score 1.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.8 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Tigres UANL | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 4th in Liga MX (22 points from 13 matches) and Tigres UANL sit 14th (14 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Toluca | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 22 |
| 14 | Tigres UANL | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 14 |
A question about Toluca vs Tigres UANL?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy