Toluca vs Tigres UANL: result 2-1 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - 10Kick-off on March 2, 2024 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
Full time
What was the result of Toluca vs Tigres UANL?
Toluca won 2-1 on March 2, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 35′O. HerreraTigres UANL
- 54′A. VegaToluca
- 71′Tiago VolpiToluca (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Tigres UANL have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | Club Tijuana(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Feb 22, 2024 | Santos Laguna(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Feb 19, 2024 | Monterrey(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Feb 16, 2024 | CS Herediano(home) | 2-3 | CONCACAF Champions League |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Necaxa(away) | 3-3 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2024 | FC Juarez(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Atlas(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Cruz Azul(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Feb 15, 2024 | Vancouver Whitecaps(home) | 3-0 | CONCACAF Champions League |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Santos Laguna(away) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Toluca win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Tigres UANL win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2023 | Tigres UANL 2-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| May 14, 2023 | Toluca 3-1 Tigres UANL | Liga MX |
| May 12, 2023 | Tigres UANL 4-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Toluca 3-2 Tigres UANL | Liga MX |
| Sep 8, 2022 | Tigres UANL 3-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Tigres UANL 3-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Tigres UANL score 1.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.8 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Tigres UANL | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Tigres UANL sit 16th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 14 | Tigres UANL | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 4 |
| 16 | Tigres UANL | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy