Toluca vs Tigres UANL: result 1-0 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - 5Kick-off on February 2, 2025 at 03:15 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
Full time
What was the result of Toluca vs Tigres UANL?
Toluca won 1-0 on February 2, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 90′PaulinhoToluca
Official lineup for Toluca vs Tigres UANL
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Toluca
4-4-2- 9A. Vega
- 19I. López
- 10J. Angulo
- 5F. Romero
- 14M. Ruiz
- 11Helinho
- 20J. Gallardo
- 6F. Pereira
- 4B. Méndez
- 2D. Barbosa
- 22L. García
Tigres UANL
4-2-3-1- 9N. Ibáñez
- 16D. Lainez
- 11J. Brunetta
- 77O. Herrera
- 8F. Gorriarán
- 19G. Pizarro
- 14J. Garza
- 27J. Angulo
- 2Joaquim
- 20J. Aquino
- 1N. Guzmán
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Tigres UANL have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2025 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Mazatlán(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Monterrey(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Club Tijuana(away) | 4-2 | Liga MX |
| Jan 5, 2025 | Mazatlán(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025 | Club Tijuana(home) | 4-0 | Liga MX |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Mazatlán(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Atletico San Luis(away) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Dec 2, 2024 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Toluca wins, 1 draw, 2 Tigres UANL wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2024 | Tigres UANL 2-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Toluca 2-1 Tigres UANL | Liga MX |
| Oct 5, 2023 | Tigres UANL 2-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| May 14, 2023 | Toluca 3-1 Tigres UANL | Liga MX |
| May 12, 2023 | Tigres UANL 4-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Toluca 3-2 Tigres UANL | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Tigres UANL score 1.6 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 2.1 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Tigres UANL | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 5th in Liga MX (23 points from 14 matches) and Tigres UANL sit 15th (15 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Toluca | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 23 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 15 |
A question about Toluca vs Tigres UANL?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy