Toluca vs Tigres UANL: result 1-0 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - 5Kick-off on February 2, 2025 at 03:15 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Tigres UANL?
Toluca won 1-0 on February 2, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 90′PaulinhoToluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Tigres UANL have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2025 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Mazatlán(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Monterrey(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Club Tijuana(away) | 4-2 | Liga MX |
| Jan 5, 2025 | Mazatlán(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025 | Club Tijuana(home) | 4-0 | Liga MX |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Mazatlán(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Atletico San Luis(away) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Dec 2, 2024 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Toluca win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Tigres UANL win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2024 | Tigres UANL 2-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Toluca 2-1 Tigres UANL | Liga MX |
| Oct 5, 2023 | Tigres UANL 2-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| May 14, 2023 | Toluca 3-1 Tigres UANL | Liga MX |
| May 12, 2023 | Tigres UANL 4-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Toluca 3-2 Tigres UANL | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Tigres UANL score 1.6 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 2.1 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Tigres UANL | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Tigres UANL sit 16th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 14 | Tigres UANL | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 4 |
| 16 | Tigres UANL | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy