Toluca vs Tigres UANL: result 2-1 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - FinalKick-off on December 15, 2025 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Tigres UANL?
Toluca won 2-1 on December 15, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 14′F. GorriaránTigres UANL
- 40′HelinhoToluca
- 52′PaulinhoToluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Tigres UANL have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2025 | Tigres UANL(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Monterrey(home) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Monterrey(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Nov 30, 2025 | FC Juarez(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Nov 27, 2025 | FC Juarez(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2025 | Toluca(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Cruz Azul(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Cruz Azul(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Club Tijuana(home) | 5-0 | Liga MX |
| Nov 27, 2025 | Club Tijuana(away) | 0-3 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Toluca win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Tigres UANL win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2025 | Tigres UANL 1-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Toluca 3-4 Tigres UANL | Liga MX |
| May 18, 2025 | Toluca 3-0 Tigres UANL | Liga MX |
| May 15, 2025 | Tigres UANL 1-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Toluca 1-0 Tigres UANL | Liga MX |
| Nov 7, 2024 | Tigres UANL 2-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
Last archived meeting: Tigres UANL vs Toluca on Dec 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tigres UANL score 1.8 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Tigres UANL | 1.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Tigres UANL sit 16th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 14 | Tigres UANL | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 4 |
| 16 | Tigres UANL | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy