Match

Toluca vs Tigres UANL: result 2-1 and analysis

Liga MXApertura - FinalKick-off on December 15, 2025 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo

Toluca
2-1
Tigres UANL

Full time

What was the result of Toluca vs Tigres UANL?

Toluca won 2-1 on December 15, 2025.

Goalscorers

  • 14′F. GorriaránTigres UANL
  • 40′HelinhoToluca
  • 52′PaulinhoToluca

Official lineup for Toluca vs Tigres UANL

The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.

Toluca

4-2-3-1
  1. 26Paulinho
  1. 8N. Castro
  2. 10J. Angulo
  3. 11Helinho
  1. 5F. Romero
  2. 14M. Ruiz
  1. 20J. Gallardo
  2. 25E. López
  3. 6F. Pereira
  4. 19S. Simón
  1. 22L. García

Tigres UANL

4-2-3-1
  1. 10A. Gignac
  1. 11J. Brunetta
  2. 7Á. Correa
  3. 16D. Lainez
  1. 8F. Gorriarán
  2. 23Rômulo
  1. 3M. Farfan
  2. 4J. Purata
  3. 2Joaquim
  4. 14J. Garza
  1. 1N. Guzmán
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What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Tigres UANL have 8, 6 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Toluca
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Dec 12, 2025Tigres UANL(away)0-1Liga MX
Dec 7, 2025Monterrey(home)3-2Liga MX
Dec 4, 2025Monterrey(away)0-1Liga MX
Nov 30, 2025FC Juarez(home)0-0Liga MX
Nov 27, 2025FC Juarez(away)2-1Liga MX
Tigres UANL
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Dec 12, 2025Toluca(home)1-0Liga MX
Dec 7, 2025Cruz Azul(home)1-1Liga MX
Dec 4, 2025Cruz Azul(away)1-1Liga MX
Nov 30, 2025Club Tijuana(home)5-0Liga MX
Nov 27, 2025Club Tijuana(away)0-3Liga MX

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Toluca wins, 1 draw, 3 Tigres UANL wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 12, 2025Tigres UANL 1-0 TolucaLiga MX
Jul 27, 2025Toluca 3-4 Tigres UANLLiga MX
May 18, 2025Toluca 3-0 Tigres UANLLiga MX
May 15, 2025Tigres UANL 1-1 TolucaLiga MX
Feb 2, 2025Toluca 1-0 Tigres UANLLiga MX
Nov 7, 2024Tigres UANL 2-1 TolucaLiga MX

Last archived meeting: Tigres UANL vs Toluca on Dec 12, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Toluca score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tigres UANL score 1.8 and concede 0.9.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Toluca2.10.967/159/15
Tigres UANL1.80.968/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Toluca sit 2nd in Liga MX (21 points from 12 matches) and Tigres UANL sit 13th (14 points from 12 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Toluca12633261621
13Tigres UANL12354141614

A question about Toluca vs Tigres UANL?

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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

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