Tigres UANL vs Toluca: result 1-0 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - FinalKick-off on December 12, 2025 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Universitario de Nuevo León, San Nicolás de los Garza
Full time
What was the result of Tigres UANL vs Toluca?
Tigres UANL won 1-0 on December 12, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 46′Á. CorreaTigres UANL
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tigres UANL have 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 defeats; Toluca have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | Cruz Azul(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Cruz Azul(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Club Tijuana(home) | 5-0 | Liga MX |
| Nov 27, 2025 | Club Tijuana(away) | 0-3 | Liga MX |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | Monterrey(home) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Monterrey(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Nov 30, 2025 | FC Juarez(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Nov 27, 2025 | FC Juarez(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Club America(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Tigres UANL win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Toluca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2025 | Toluca 3-4 Tigres UANL | Liga MX |
| May 18, 2025 | Toluca 3-0 Tigres UANL | Liga MX |
| May 15, 2025 | Tigres UANL 1-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Toluca 1-0 Tigres UANL | Liga MX |
| Nov 7, 2024 | Tigres UANL 2-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Toluca 2-1 Tigres UANL | Liga MX |
Last archived meeting: Toluca vs Tigres UANL on Jul 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Tigres UANL score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 2.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigres UANL | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Toluca | 2.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tigres UANL sit 16th in Liga MX (1 points from 3 matches) and Toluca sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 4 |
| 16 | Tigres UANL | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy