Where and when is Maidstone Utd vs Maidenhead played?

Maidstone Utd vs Maidenhead is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Gallagher Stadium, in the National League - South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Maidstone Utd vs Maidenhead: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Gallagher Stadium, Maidstone, Kent

Maidstone Utd

Maidenhead

The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Maidenhead. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Maidstone Utd vs Maidenhead?

Maidstone Utd starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,926 vs 1,811).

Maidstone Utd win57 %

Draw25 %

Maidenhead win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maidstone Utd have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Maidenhead have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Maidstone Utd
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Dorking Wanderers(away)	3-2	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Folkestone Invicta(home)	1-1	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Walton & Hersham(away)	3-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Farnborough(home)	1-2	National League - South
Aug 1, 2026	Chatham Town(away)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

Maidenhead
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Farnborough(home)	1-1	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Hemel Hempstead Town(away)	1-0	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Dorking Wanderers(home)	0-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Truro City(away)	0-2	National League - South
Aug 1, 2026	Brackley Town(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Maidstone Utd win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Maidenhead win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 7, 2026	Maidenhead 2-1 Maidstone Utd	National League - South
Sep 20, 2025	Maidstone Utd 0-1 Maidenhead	National League - South
Mar 18, 2023	Maidenhead 2-1 Maidstone Utd	National League
Nov 26, 2022	Maidstone Utd 3-2 Maidenhead	National League
Jan 15, 2019	Maidstone Utd 2-4 Maidenhead	National League
Aug 25, 2018	Maidenhead 3-2 Maidstone Utd	National League

Last archived meeting: Maidenhead vs Maidstone Utd on Mar 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Maidstone Utd score 2.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Maidenhead score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Maidstone Utd	2.4	1.2	6	9/15	11/15
Maidenhead	0.9	1.2	4	7/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Maidstone Utd sit 5th in National League - South (7 points from 4 matches) and Maidenhead sit 14th (5 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Maidstone Utd	4	2	1	1	8	5	7
14	Maidenhead	4	1	2	1	2	3	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Maidstone Utd vs Maidenhead?: The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Maidenhead.
Where and when is Maidstone Utd vs Maidenhead played?: Maidstone Utd vs Maidenhead is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Gallagher Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.