Where and when is Chelmsford City vs Farnham Town played?

Chelmsford City vs Farnham Town is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Melbourne Stadium, in the National League - South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Chelmsford City vs Farnham Town: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Melbourne Stadium, Chelmsford, Essex

Chelmsford City

Farnham Town

The Footlab model makes Chelmsford City the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Farnham Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chelmsford City vs Farnham Town?

A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Chelmsford City (1,874) and Farnham Town (1,936).

Chelmsford City win39 %

Draw26 %

Farnham Town win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chelmsford City have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Farnham Town have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chelmsford City
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Folkestone Invicta(away)	1-1	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Truro City(home)	0-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Hemel Hempstead Town(away)	1-1	National League - South
Apr 25, 2026	Eastbourne Borough(home)	1-3	National League - South
Apr 18, 2026	Chesham United(away)	2-0	National League - South

Farnham Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Billericay Town(home)	2-4	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Slough Town(away)	1-0	National League - South
Aug 14, 2026	Dagenham & Redbridge(away)	1-2	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	AFC Totton(home)	0-1	National League - South
Aug 1, 2026	Eastleigh(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Chelmsford City score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Farnham Town score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Chelmsford City	1.5	1.4	5	9/15	6/15
Farnham Town	1.6	1.1	4	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chelmsford City sit 17th in National League - South (3 points from 3 matches) and Farnham Town sit 19th (3 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
17	Chelmsford City	3	0	3	0	2	2	3
19	Farnham Town	4	1	0	3	4	7	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chelmsford City vs Farnham Town?: The Footlab model makes Chelmsford City the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Farnham Town.
Where and when is Chelmsford City vs Farnham Town played?: Chelmsford City vs Farnham Town is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Melbourne Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.