Farnborough vs Dagenham & Redbridge: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Saunders Transport Community Stadium, Farnborough, Hampshire
The Footlab model makes Dagenham & Redbridge the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Farnborough. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Farnborough vs Dagenham & Redbridge?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Farnborough (1,772) and Dagenham & Redbridge (1,845).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Farnborough have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Dagenham & Redbridge have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maidenhead(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Chesham United(home) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(home) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Torquay(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Farnham Town(home) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Boreham Wood(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Farnborough win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Dagenham & Redbridge win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | Farnborough 2-3 Dagenham & Redbridge | National League - South |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Dagenham & Redbridge 0-0 Farnborough | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Farnborough vs Dagenham & Redbridge on Mar 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Farnborough score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Dagenham & Redbridge score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farnborough | 1.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Dagenham & Redbridge | 1.5 | 1.6 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Farnborough sit 7th in National League - South (7 points from 4 matches) and Dagenham & Redbridge sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
| 7 | Farnborough | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Farnborough vs Dagenham & Redbridge?
- The Footlab model makes Dagenham & Redbridge the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Farnborough.
- Where and when is Farnborough vs Dagenham & Redbridge played?
- Farnborough vs Dagenham & Redbridge is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Saunders Transport Community Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026Maidstone UtdvsMaidenhead
- Oct 17, 2026Ebbsfleet UnitedvsWeston-super-Mare
- Oct 17, 2026Slough TownvsHorsham
- Oct 17, 2026Chelmsford CityvsFarnham Town
- Oct 17, 2026Truro CityvsBillericay Town
- Oct 17, 2026Folkestone InvictavsAFC Totton
- Oct 17, 2026SalisburyvsBraintree
- Oct 17, 2026Dorking WanderersvsHampton & Richmond