Where and when is Tonbridge Angels vs Dorking Wanderers played?

Tonbridge Angels vs Dorking Wanderers is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Longmead Stadium, in the National League - South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Tonbridge Angels vs Dorking Wanderers: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 20Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Longmead Stadium, Tonbridge, Kent

Tonbridge Angels

Dorking Wanderers

The Footlab model makes Dorking Wanderers the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Tonbridge Angels. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tonbridge Angels vs Dorking Wanderers?

A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Tonbridge Angels (1,775) and Dorking Wanderers (1,848).

Tonbridge Angels win37 %

Draw25 %

Dorking Wanderers win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tonbridge Angels have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Dorking Wanderers have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tonbridge Angels
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Truro City(home)	0-2	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Dover(away)	1-0	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Torquay(home)	1-2	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Braintree(away)	4-0	National League - South
Jul 28, 2026	Eastbourne Borough(home)	4-2	Friendlies Clubs

Dorking Wanderers
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Maidstone Utd(home)	2-3	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	AFC Totton(away)	3-0	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Maidenhead(away)	0-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Dagenham & Redbridge(home)	0-1	National League - South
Jul 28, 2026	Dulwich Hamlet(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Tonbridge Angels win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Dorking Wanderers win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 3, 2026	Tonbridge Angels 2-2 Dorking Wanderers	National League - South
Aug 25, 2025	Dorking Wanderers 4-1 Tonbridge Angels	National League - South
Feb 11, 2025	Dorking Wanderers 1-0 Tonbridge Angels	National League - South
Oct 22, 2024	Tonbridge Angels 1-0 Dorking Wanderers	National League - South
Feb 5, 2022	Dorking Wanderers 1-3 Tonbridge Angels	National League - South
Sep 25, 2021	Tonbridge Angels 3-1 Dorking Wanderers	National League - South

Last archived meeting: Tonbridge Angels vs Dorking Wanderers on Jan 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Tonbridge Angels score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Dorking Wanderers score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Tonbridge Angels	1.7	1.2	4	8/15	8/15
Dorking Wanderers	1.1	1.7	3	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tonbridge Angels sit 9th in National League - South (6 points from 4 matches) and Dorking Wanderers sit 16th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Tonbridge Angels	4	2	0	2	6	4	6
16	Dorking Wanderers	4	1	1	2	5	4	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tonbridge Angels vs Dorking Wanderers?: The Footlab model makes Dorking Wanderers the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Tonbridge Angels.
Where and when is Tonbridge Angels vs Dorking Wanderers played?: Tonbridge Angels vs Dorking Wanderers is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Longmead Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.