Tonbridge Angels vs Dorking Wanderers: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 20Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Longmead Stadium, Tonbridge, Kent
The Footlab AI model makes Tonbridge Angels the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Dorking Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tonbridge Angels wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,158 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tonbridge Angels vs Dorking Wanderers?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Tonbridge Angels (1,766) and Dorking Wanderers (1,840).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tonbridge Angels vs Dorking Wanderers
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tonbridge Angels
Not enough data to predict the Tonbridge Angels lineup.
Dorking Wanderers
Not enough data to predict the Dorking Wanderers lineup.
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tonbridge Angels have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Dorking Wanderers have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 1-3 | National League - South |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Salisbury(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Chelmsford City(away) | 3-3 | National League - South |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(home) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond(home) | 3-2 | National League - South |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(home) | 3-3 | National League - South |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Slough Town(away) | 3-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dover(away) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Tonbridge Angels wins, 1 draw, 2 Dorking Wanderers wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels 2-2 Dorking Wanderers | National League - South |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Dorking Wanderers 4-1 Tonbridge Angels | National League - South |
| Feb 11, 2025 | Dorking Wanderers 1-0 Tonbridge Angels | National League - South |
| Oct 22, 2024 | Tonbridge Angels 1-0 Dorking Wanderers | National League - South |
| Feb 5, 2022 | Dorking Wanderers 1-3 Tonbridge Angels | National League - South |
| Sep 25, 2021 | Tonbridge Angels 3-1 Dorking Wanderers | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Tonbridge Angels vs Dorking Wanderers on Jan 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tonbridge Angels score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dorking Wanderers score 2.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tonbridge Angels | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Dorking Wanderers | 2.6 | 1.9 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tonbridge Angels sit 9th in National League - South (24 points from 16 matches) and Dorking Wanderers sit 6th (27 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Dorking Wanderers | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 23 | 27 |
| 9 | Tonbridge Angels | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 24 |
A question about Tonbridge Angels vs Dorking Wanderers?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tonbridge Angels vs Dorking Wanderers?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tonbridge Angels the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Dorking Wanderers.
- Where and when is Tonbridge Angels vs Dorking Wanderers played?
- Tonbridge Angels vs Dorking Wanderers is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Longmead Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Dec 5, 2026DovervsHemel Hempstead Town
- Dec 5, 2026MaidenheadvsBraintree
- Dec 5, 2026Ebbsfleet UnitedvsTorquay
- Dec 5, 2026Hampton & RichmondvsFarnham Town
- Dec 5, 2026Chelmsford CityvsSlough Town
- Dec 5, 2026Chesham UnitedvsSalisbury
- Dec 5, 2026AFC TottonvsMaidstone Utd