Tonbridge Angels vs Horsham: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 41Kick-off on March 26, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Longmead Stadium, Tonbridge, Kent
The Footlab model makes Tonbridge Angels the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Horsham. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tonbridge Angels vs Horsham?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Tonbridge Angels (1,775) and Horsham (1,821).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tonbridge Angels have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Horsham have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Truro City(home) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Dover(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Torquay(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 4-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Salisbury(home) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Torquay(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Worthing(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Tonbridge Angels win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Horsham win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Horsham 0-1 Tonbridge Angels | National League - South |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Tonbridge Angels 1-2 Horsham | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Horsham vs Tonbridge Angels on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tonbridge Angels score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Horsham score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tonbridge Angels | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Horsham | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tonbridge Angels sit 9th in National League - South (6 points from 4 matches) and Horsham sit 2nd (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Horsham | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 | Tonbridge Angels | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tonbridge Angels vs Horsham?
- The Footlab model makes Tonbridge Angels the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Horsham.
- Where and when is Tonbridge Angels vs Horsham played?
- Tonbridge Angels vs Horsham is played on March 26, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Longmead Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 26, 2027Maidstone UtdvsDagenham & Redbridge
- Mar 26, 2027Ebbsfleet UnitedvsDover
- Mar 26, 2027Slough TownvsChesham United
- Mar 26, 2027Chelmsford CityvsBillericay Town
- Mar 26, 2027Truro CityvsWeston-super-Mare
- Mar 26, 2027FarnboroughvsAFC Totton
- Mar 26, 2027Folkestone InvictavsBraintree
- Mar 26, 2027SalisburyvsTorquay