Horsham vs Dorking Wanderers: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 42Kick-off on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Camping World Community Stadium, Horsham, West Sussex
The Footlab model makes Horsham the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Dorking Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Horsham vs Dorking Wanderers?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Horsham (1,821) and Dorking Wanderers (1,848).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Horsham have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Dorking Wanderers have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Salisbury(home) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Torquay(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Worthing(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 2-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AFC Totton(away) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maidenhead(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Horsham win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Dorking Wanderers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Horsham 3-0 Dorking Wanderers | National League - South |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Dorking Wanderers 2-0 Horsham | National League - South |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Horsham 1-0 Dorking Wanderers | FA Cup |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Horsham 2-0 Dorking Wanderers | FA Cup |
| Jul 25, 2023 | Dorking Wanderers 1-1 Horsham | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 10, 2021 | Dorking Wanderers 2-1 Horsham | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Horsham vs Dorking Wanderers on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Horsham score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Dorking Wanderers score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Horsham | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Dorking Wanderers | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Horsham sit 2nd in National League - South (8 points from 4 matches) and Dorking Wanderers sit 16th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Horsham | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 16 | Dorking Wanderers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Horsham vs Dorking Wanderers?
- The Footlab model makes Horsham the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Dorking Wanderers.
- Where and when is Horsham vs Dorking Wanderers played?
- Horsham vs Dorking Wanderers is played on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Camping World Community Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 29, 2027Dagenham & RedbridgevsEbbsfleet United
- Mar 29, 2027TorquayvsTruro City
- Mar 29, 2027DovervsFolkestone Invicta
- Mar 29, 2027BraintreevsChelmsford City
- Mar 29, 2027MaidenheadvsSlough Town
- Mar 29, 2027Billericay TownvsMaidstone Utd
- Mar 29, 2027Hampton & RichmondvsWalton & Hersham
- Mar 29, 2027Weston-super-MarevsSalisbury