Match

Horsham vs Dorking Wanderers: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 42Kick-off on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Camping World Community Stadium, Horsham, West Sussex

HorshamDorking Wanderers

The Footlab model makes Horsham the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Dorking Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Horsham vs Dorking Wanderers?

A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Horsham (1,821) and Dorking Wanderers (1,848).

Horsham win42 %
Draw27 %
Dorking Wanderers win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Horsham have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Dorking Wanderers have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Horsham
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Braintree(away)2-1National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Hampton & Richmond(home)2-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Salisbury(home)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Torquay(away)1-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Worthing(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Dorking Wanderers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Maidstone Utd(home)2-3National League - South
Aug 18, 2026AFC Totton(away)3-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Maidenhead(away)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Dagenham & Redbridge(home)0-1National League - South
Jul 28, 2026Dulwich Hamlet(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Horsham win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Dorking Wanderers win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 3, 2026Horsham 3-0 Dorking WanderersNational League - South
Dec 26, 2025Dorking Wanderers 2-0 HorshamNational League - South
Sep 14, 2024Horsham 1-0 Dorking WanderersFA Cup
Oct 14, 2023Horsham 2-0 Dorking WanderersFA Cup
Jul 25, 2023Dorking Wanderers 1-1 HorshamFriendlies Clubs
Jul 10, 2021Dorking Wanderers 2-1 HorshamFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Horsham vs Dorking Wanderers on Apr 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Horsham score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Dorking Wanderers score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Horsham1.21.255/157/15
Dorking Wanderers1.11.738/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Horsham sit 2nd in National League - South (8 points from 4 matches) and Dorking Wanderers sit 16th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Horsham4220528
16Dorking Wanderers4112544

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Horsham vs Dorking Wanderers?
The Footlab model makes Horsham the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Dorking Wanderers.
Where and when is Horsham vs Dorking Wanderers played?
Horsham vs Dorking Wanderers is played on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Camping World Community Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Horsham and Dorking Wanderers

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