Rustavi vs Dinamo Batumi: prediction and stats
Erovnuli LigaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Teknikuri Tsentri, Rustavi
The Footlab model makes Rustavi the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Dinamo Batumi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rustavi vs Dinamo Batumi?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Rustavi (1,691) and Dinamo Batumi (1,645).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rustavi have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Dinamo Batumi have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gagra(home) | 3-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi(away) | 3-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Torpedo Kutaisi(home) | 1-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Spaeri(home) | 3-1 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Varketili(away) | 1-0 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Meshakhte(away) | 1-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Samgurali(away) | 4-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gagra(home) | 2-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Telavi(home) | 1-0 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Irao(away) | 4-1 | David Kipiani Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Rustavi win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Dinamo Batumi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | Dinamo Batumi 1-0 Rustavi | Erovnuli Liga |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Rustavi 3-0 Dinamo Batumi | Erovnuli Liga |
| Apr 21, 2021 | Rustavi 0-2 Dinamo Batumi | David Kipiani Cup |
| Nov 24, 2019 | Dinamo Batumi 2-1 Rustavi | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 31, 2019 | Rustavi 0-2 Dinamo Batumi | Erovnuli Liga |
| Jun 2, 2019 | Dinamo Batumi 2-1 Rustavi | Erovnuli Liga |
Last archived meeting: Dinamo Batumi vs Rustavi on May 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rustavi score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo Batumi score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rustavi | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Dinamo Batumi | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rustavi sit 1st in Erovnuli Liga (41 points from 22 matches) and Dinamo Batumi sit 4th (34 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rustavi | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 18 | 41 |
| 4 | Dinamo Batumi | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 32 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rustavi vs Dinamo Batumi?
- The Footlab model makes Rustavi the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Dinamo Batumi.
- Where and when is Rustavi vs Dinamo Batumi played?
- Rustavi vs Dinamo Batumi is played on September 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Teknikuri Tsentri, in the Erovnuli Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.