Where and when is Maidenhead vs Torquay played?

Maidenhead vs Torquay is played on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at York Road Stadium, in the National League - South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Maidenhead vs Torquay: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 8Kick-off on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)York Road Stadium, Maidenhead, Berkshire

Maidenhead

Torquay

The Footlab model makes Maidenhead the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Torquay. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Maidenhead vs Torquay?

A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Maidenhead (1,811) and Torquay (1,872).

Maidenhead win41 %

Draw27 %

Torquay win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maidenhead have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Torquay have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Maidenhead
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Farnborough(home)	1-1	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Hemel Hempstead Town(away)	1-0	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Dorking Wanderers(home)	0-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Truro City(away)	0-2	National League - South
Aug 1, 2026	Brackley Town(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

Torquay
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Dagenham & Redbridge(away)	0-2	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Weston-super-Mare(home)	0-0	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Tonbridge Angels(away)	2-1	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Horsham(home)	1-1	National League - South
Jul 31, 2026	Exeter City(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Maidenhead win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Torquay win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 14, 2026	Torquay 1-1 Maidenhead	National League - South
Nov 8, 2025	Maidenhead 1-2 Torquay	National League - South
Apr 10, 2023	Maidenhead 1-3 Torquay	National League
Oct 4, 2022	Torquay 2-3 Maidenhead	National League
Apr 30, 2022	Torquay 1-1 Maidenhead	National League
Sep 4, 2021	Maidenhead 3-4 Torquay	National League

Last archived meeting: Torquay vs Maidenhead on Feb 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Maidenhead score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Torquay score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Maidenhead	0.9	1.2	4	7/15	4/15
Torquay	2.2	1.1	3	10/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Maidenhead sit 14th in National League - South (5 points from 4 matches) and Torquay sit 13th (5 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Torquay	4	1	2	1	3	4	5
14	Maidenhead	4	1	2	1	2	3	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Maidenhead vs Torquay?: The Footlab model makes Maidenhead the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Torquay.
Where and when is Maidenhead vs Torquay played?: Maidenhead vs Torquay is played on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at York Road Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.