Alhaurino vs Torre del Mar: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Miguel Fijones, Alhaurín el Grande
The Footlab AI model makes Alhaurino the favourite at 36%, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Torre del Mar. The most likely score is 0-0. If Alhaurino wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,250 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alhaurino vs Torre del Mar?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Alhaurino (1,668) and Torre del Mar (1,750).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alhaurino vs Torre del Mar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alhaurino
4-3-3- AAlejandro Guerrero Martín
- II. Ndiaye
- DDiogo Rodrigues de Sousa
- MMiguel Ángel Lupiáñez Gómez
- VVíctor Rueda Pérez
- MManuel González Mora
- DDavid Sánchez Molina
- RRaúl Fernández Ortega
- FFran Moreno
- AAlejandro Jiménez Rios
- JJosé Manuel Pérez García
Torre del Mar
Not enough data to predict the Torre del Mar lineup.
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 07:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alhaurino have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Torre del Mar have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Huétor Vega(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Mancha Real(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Marbelli(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Malaga City(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Atletico de Marbella(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Huétor Vega(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mancha Real(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Alhaurino wins, 1 draw, 3 Torre del Mar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Torre del Mar 1-0 Alhaurino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Alhaurino 1-1 Torre del Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Feb 26, 2022 | Torre del Mar 2-1 Alhaurino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Alhaurino 1-3 Torre del Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Torre del Mar vs Alhaurino on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alhaurino score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Torre del Mar score 0.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alhaurino | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Torre del Mar | 0.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alhaurino sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (9 points from 10 matches) and Torre del Mar sit 13th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Torre del Mar | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 12 |
| 14 | Alhaurino | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 9 |
A question about Alhaurino vs Torre del Mar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alhaurino vs Torre del Mar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Alhaurino the favourite at 36%, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Torre del Mar.
- Where and when is Alhaurino vs Torre del Mar played?
- Alhaurino vs Torre del Mar is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Miguel Fijones, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 15, 2026Atlético PorcunavsCiudad de Torredonjimeno
- Nov 15, 2026Granada IIvsMarbelli
- Nov 15, 2026Almería IIvsMelilla
- Nov 15, 2026Málaga IIvsArenas Armilla
- Nov 15, 2026UD San PedrovsHuétor Vega
- Nov 15, 2026Churriana VegavsMotril
- Nov 15, 2026Atletico de MarbellavsMalaga City
- Nov 15, 2026CantoriavsMancha Real