Torre del Mar vs UD San Pedro: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Manuel Azuaga, Torre del Mar
The Footlab model makes Torre del Mar the favourite at 47%, against 30% for a draw and 23% for UD San Pedro. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torre del Mar vs UD San Pedro?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Torre del Mar (1,799) and UD San Pedro (1,738).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torre del Mar have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; UD San Pedro have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 17, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 10, 2026 | Torreperogil(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 3, 2026 | Atlético Porcuna(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Motril(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 3, 2026 | Churriana Vega(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Torreperogil(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Atlético Porcuna(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Torre del Mar(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Torre del Mar win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 UD San Pedro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | UD San Pedro 0-0 Torre del Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Torre del Mar 1-0 UD San Pedro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Jan 19, 2022 | UD San Pedro 1-1 Torre del Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 12, 2021 | Torre del Mar 2-0 UD San Pedro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: UD San Pedro vs Torre del Mar on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Torre del Mar score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; UD San Pedro score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torre del Mar | 0.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| UD San Pedro | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Torre del Mar sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (55 points from 34 matches) and UD San Pedro sit 8th (49 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Torre del Mar | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 37 | 26 | 55 |
| 8 | UD San Pedro | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torre del Mar vs UD San Pedro?
- The Footlab model makes Torre del Mar the favourite at 47%, against 30% for a draw and 23% for UD San Pedro.
- Where and when is Torre del Mar vs UD San Pedro played?
- Torre del Mar vs UD San Pedro is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Manuel Azuaga, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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