Where and when is Melilla vs Churriana Vega played?

Melilla vs Churriana Vega is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Álvarez Claro, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Melilla vs Churriana Vega: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Álvarez Claro, Melilla

Melilla

Churriana Vega

The Footlab model makes Melilla the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Churriana Vega. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Melilla vs Churriana Vega?

A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Melilla (1,808) and Churriana Vega (1,740).

Melilla win51 %

Draw28 %

Churriana Vega win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Melilla have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Churriana Vega have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Melilla
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Málaga II(away)	3-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026	Linares Deportivo(home)	2-4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 19, 2026	Recreativo Huelva(away)	0-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026	Águilas(home)	0-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026	Estepona(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Churriana Vega
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	Motril(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 17, 2026	Motril(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 10, 2026	El Palo(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026	UD San Pedro(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026	Alhaurino(away)	0-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

How many goals should we expect?

Melilla score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Churriana Vega score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Melilla	1.2	1.5	2	8/15	7/15
Churriana Vega	0.9	1.3	5	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Churriana Vega	34	14	10	10	32	40	52

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Melilla vs Churriana Vega?: The Footlab model makes Melilla the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Churriana Vega.
Where and when is Melilla vs Churriana Vega played?: Melilla vs Churriana Vega is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Álvarez Claro, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.