Match

Melilla vs Churriana Vega: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 · Matchday 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Álvarez Claro, Melilla

MelillaChurriana Vega

The Footlab AI model makes Melilla the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Churriana Vega. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,590 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Melilla vs Churriana Vega?

On Elo ratings, Melilla has 1,809 points and Churriana Vega 1,730.

54%27%19%
Melilla winDrawChurriana Vega win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Melilla vs Churriana Vega

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Melilla

4-3-3
  1. 10Víctor Morillo
  2. 21Carlos Bravo
  3. BB. Kavtaradze
  1. AAdrián Tovar
  2. 19Armando
  3. 19Iván Ramos
  1. 4Manuel Galán
  2. 3Fran Varela
  3. 3Lolo González
  4. DDiego Ceballos
  1. EEdua Loscos

Churriana Vega

Not enough data to predict the Churriana Vega lineup.

Computed on November 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Melilla have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Churriana Vega have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Melilla
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Granada II(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 31, 2026Málaga II(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 24, 2026Cantoria(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 18, 2026Atlético Porcuna(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 11, 2026UD San Pedro(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Churriana Vega
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Atletico de Marbella(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Nov 1, 2026Almería II(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 25, 2026Granada II(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 18, 2026Málaga II(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 11, 2026Cantoria(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

How many goals should we expect?

Melilla score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Churriana Vega score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Melilla1.51.156/157/15
Churriana Vega1.31.167/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Melilla sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (23 points from 10 matches) and Churriana Vega sit 7th (15 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Melilla1072117723
7Churriana Vega10433151015

A question about Melilla vs Churriana Vega?

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Melilla vs Churriana Vega?
The Footlab AI model makes Melilla the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Churriana Vega.
Where and when is Melilla vs Churriana Vega played?
Melilla vs Churriana Vega is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Álvarez Claro, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Melilla and Churriana Vega