Motril vs Atletico de Marbella: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Escribano Castilla, Motril
The Footlab AI model makes Motril the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Atletico de Marbella. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,623 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Motril vs Atletico de Marbella?
Motril starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,825 vs 1,703).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Motril vs Atletico de Marbella
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Motril
Not enough data to predict the Motril lineup.
Atletico de Marbella
Not enough data to predict the Atletico de Marbella lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 02:01 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Motril have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Atletico de Marbella have 1, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Granada II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Málaga II(home) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cantoria(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atlético Porcuna(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | UD San Pedro(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Torre del Mar(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Almería II(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Huétor Vega(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Granada II(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
How many goals should we expect?
Motril score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico de Marbella score 0.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Motril | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
| Atletico de Marbella | 0.8 | 1.2 | 2 | 4/9 | 3/9 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Motril sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (16 points from 9 matches) and Atletico de Marbella sit 15th (7 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Motril | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 16 |
| 15 | Atletico de Marbella | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Motril vs Atletico de Marbella?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Motril vs Atletico de Marbella?
- The Footlab AI model makes Motril the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Atletico de Marbella.
- Where and when is Motril vs Atletico de Marbella played?
- Motril vs Atletico de Marbella is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Escribano Castilla, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.