Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 4Kick-off on November 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Campo Manuel Marques, Torres Vedras
The Footlab AI model makes Torreense the favourite at 79%, against 15% for a draw and 6% for Ararat-Armenia. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia?
Torreense starts as the favourite with a 236-point Elo edge (2,094 vs 1,858).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Torreense
4-2-3-1- 27M. Abubakari
- 7D. Jean
- 8Alejandro Alfaro
- 6A. Oudrhiri
- 11Manu Pozo
- 33João Marques
- 22David Bruno
- 4Volnei Feltes
- 23Javi Vázquez
- 5M. Diadie
- 31Adriel
Ararat-Armenia
4-3-3- 91Sandro Lima
- 77A. Serobyan
- 11Zidane Banjaqui
- 70Benny
- 2Hugo Oliveira
- 19K. Muradyan
- 3J. Julio
- 43Bruno Wilson
- 47A. Malis
- 16E. Grigoryan
- 98João Bravim
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 11:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torreense have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Ararat-Armenia have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2026 | Lillestrom(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Leixoes(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Benfica B(away) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Vizela(home) | 0-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(away) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ararat(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Shirak(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sparta Praha(home) | 1-4 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Syunik(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Ararat(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Torreense score 1.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Ararat-Armenia score 1.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torreense | 1.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Ararat-Armenia | 1.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Torreense sit 12th in UEFA Europa League (3 points from 1 match) and Ararat-Armenia sit 33rd (0 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Torreense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 33 | Ararat-Armenia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
A question about Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Torreense the favourite at 79%, against 15% for a draw and 6% for Ararat-Armenia.
- Where and when is Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia played?
- Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia is played on November 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Manuel Marques, in the UEFA Europa League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.