Torreense vs Farense: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Manuel Marques, Torres Vedras
The Footlab AI model makes Torreense the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Farense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Torreense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,521 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torreense vs Farense?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Torreense (2,016) and Farense (1,990).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Torreense vs Farense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Torreense
4-2-3-1- 11Manu Pozo
- 8Alejandro Alfaro
- 7D. Jean
- 5M. Diadie
- 6A. Oudrhiri
- 26André Simões
- 4Volnei Feltes
- 22David Bruno
- 23Javi Vázquez
- 2Stopira
- 1Lucas Paes
Farense
4-3-3- 7João Resende
- 17André Candeias
- 11Nélson Oliveira
- 29Cláudio Falcão
- 10S. Singh
- 27Mattheus Oliveira
- 37Gonçalo Silva
- 44N. Zolotić
- 78Alex Pinto
- 22Toni Herrero
- 97F. Buntić
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 07:55 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torreense have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Farense have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Portimonense(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Amarante(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(away) | 1-4 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Sunderland(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tondela(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Penafiel(home) | 1-4 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | AD Marco 09(home) | 3-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Feirense(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Chaves(home) | 4-0 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Torreense wins, 0 draws, 2 Farense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Farense 2-1 Torreense | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Torreense 2-1 Farense | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Farense 0-3 Torreense | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Torreense 1-0 Farense | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 6, 2022 | Farense 2-1 Torreense | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Torreense score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Farense score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torreense | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Farense | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Torreense sit 12th in Segunda Liga (10 points from 9 matches) and Farense sit 5th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Farense | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 15 |
| 12 | Torreense | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 10 |
A question about Torreense vs Farense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torreense vs Farense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Torreense the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Farense.
- Where and when is Torreense vs Farense played?
- Torreense vs Farense is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Manuel Marques, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.