FC Porto B vs Lusitânia Lourosa: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Jorge Sampaio, Pedroso, Vila Nova de Gaia
The Footlab model makes FC Porto B the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Lusitânia Lourosa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Porto B vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate FC Porto B (1,885) and Lusitânia Lourosa (1,923).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Porto B have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Lusitânia Lourosa have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Feirense(away) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Farense(home) | 1-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Academica(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Torreense(home) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Amarante(away) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | FC Porto B(home) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Paredes(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Arouca(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 FC Porto B win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Lusitânia Lourosa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa 2-0 FC Porto B | Segunda Liga |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa 3-3 FC Porto B | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa 1-1 FC Porto B | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 30, 2025 | FC Porto B 1-2 Lusitânia Lourosa | Segunda Liga |
Last archived meeting: Lusitânia Lourosa vs FC Porto B on Aug 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Porto B score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lusitânia Lourosa score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Porto B | 1.1 | 1.5 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Lusitânia Lourosa | 1.1 | 1.4 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Porto B sit 12th in Segunda Liga (3 points from 3 matches) and Lusitânia Lourosa sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 12 | FC Porto B | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Porto B vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
- The Footlab model makes FC Porto B the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Lusitânia Lourosa.
- Where and when is FC Porto B vs Lusitânia Lourosa played?
- FC Porto B vs Lusitânia Lourosa is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Dr. Jorge Sampaio, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.