Toulouse vs Marseille: result 0-1 and analysis
Ligue 1Regular Season - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2026 at 08:05 PM (UTC)Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse
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What was the result of Toulouse vs Marseille?
Marseille won 0-1 on March 7, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 18′M. GreenwoodMarseille
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toulouse have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Marseille have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | Marseille(away) | 2-2 | Coupe de France |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Rennes(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Paris FC(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Le Havre(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Angers(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | Toulouse(home) | 2-2 | Coupe de France |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Strasbourg(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(away) | 0-5 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Toulouse win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Marseille win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | Marseille 2-2 Toulouse | Coupe de France |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Marseille 2-2 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Marseille 3-2 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Toulouse 1-3 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Toulouse 2-2 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Marseille 0-0 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Toulouse score 1.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Marseille score 2.5 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 1.4 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Marseille | 2.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toulouse sit 10th in Ligue 1 (44 points from 33 matches) and Marseille sit 5th (59 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Marseille | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63 | 45 | 59 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 47 | 46 | 44 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy