TP Mazembe vs Don Bosco: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 4Kick-off on November 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade du TP Mazembe, Lubumbashi
The Footlab AI model makes TP Mazembe the favourite at 69%, against 22% for a draw and 9% for Don Bosco. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TP Mazembe vs Don Bosco?
TP Mazembe starts as the favourite with a 253-point Elo edge (1,959 vs 1,706).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for TP Mazembe vs Don Bosco
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
TP Mazembe
4-3-3- 20B. Beenga
- 13Cheick Oumar Abdallah Fofana
- 27G. Mujaya
- 28Jean Louis Barthelemy Diouf
- 11M. Ngimbi
- 17B. Ngalamulume
- 5A. Zon
- 26A. Fabrice
- 38L. Ameka
- 37P. Mwamba
- 33A. Faty
Don Bosco
Not enough data to predict the Don Bosco lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TP Mazembe have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Don Bosco have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Medeama(home) | 3-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Medeama(away) | 1-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Céleste(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Don Bosco(away) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Saint Eloi Lupopo(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | JSK(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | TP Mazembe(home) | 0-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Vita Club(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Saint Eloi Lupopo(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Céleste(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 TP Mazembe wins, 0 draws, 0 Don Bosco wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 2026 | Don Bosco 0-3 TP Mazembe | Ligue 1 |
| May 15, 2026 | TP Mazembe 4-2 Don Bosco | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | TP Mazembe 1-0 Don Bosco | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 19, 2025 | Don Bosco 0-3 TP Mazembe | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 8, 2025 | Don Bosco 0-4 TP Mazembe | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 23, 2025 | TP Mazembe 2-1 Don Bosco | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Don Bosco vs TP Mazembe on Jun 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
TP Mazembe score 1.8 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Don Bosco score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TP Mazembe | 1.8 | 0.5 | 10 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Don Bosco | 0.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TP Mazembe sit 1st in Ligue 1 (73 points from 30 matches) and Don Bosco sit 3rd (56 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TP Mazembe | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 57 | 12 | 73 |
| 3 | Don Bosco | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43 | 24 | 56 |
A question about TP Mazembe vs Don Bosco?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TP Mazembe vs Don Bosco?
- The Footlab AI model makes TP Mazembe the favourite at 69%, against 22% for a draw and 9% for Don Bosco.
- Where and when is TP Mazembe vs Don Bosco played?
- TP Mazembe vs Don Bosco is played on November 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du TP Mazembe, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.