Tranmere vs Bristol Rovers: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 45Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Prenton Park, Birkenhead, Merseyside
The Footlab AI model makes Tranmere the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Bristol Rovers. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tranmere wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tranmere vs Bristol Rovers?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Tranmere (1,686) and Bristol Rovers (1,762).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tranmere vs Bristol Rovers
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tranmere
4-2-3-1- 29D. Jones
- 10T. Ince
- 6W. Vaulks
- 7Charlie Jay Whitaker
- 11T. Conlon
- 17Z. Okoro
- 2J. Senior
- 3J. Slater
- 5N. Smith
- 30G. Nevett
- 12H. Male
Bristol Rovers
4-2-3-1- 29F. Cavegn
- 6C. Mola
- 19E. Harrison
- 7S. Forde
- 24T. Leigh
- 21R. Smallwood
- 2T. James
- 4K. Balmer
- 17C. Kelly
- 14B. Purrington
- 1Brad Young
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:24 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tranmere have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Bristol Rovers have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rochdale(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Chesterfield(away) | 2-4 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Walsall(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Shrewsbury(home) | 1-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Exeter City(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Barnet(home) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Crewe(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Exeter City(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Gillingham(away) | 0-3 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tranmere win, 3 draws, 2 Bristol Rovers wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Tranmere 1-2 Bristol Rovers | League Two |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Bristol Rovers 1-4 Tranmere | League Two |
| Apr 9, 2022 | Tranmere 1-1 Bristol Rovers | League Two |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Bristol Rovers 2-2 Tranmere | League Two |
| Feb 11, 2020 | Tranmere 0-0 Bristol Rovers | League One |
| Aug 20, 2019 | Bristol Rovers 2-0 Tranmere | League One |
Last archived meeting: Tranmere vs Bristol Rovers on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tranmere score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bristol Rovers score 1.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tranmere | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Bristol Rovers | 1.4 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tranmere sit 13th in League Two (12 points from 10 matches) and Bristol Rovers sit 9th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 15 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 12 |
A question about Tranmere vs Bristol Rovers?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tranmere vs Bristol Rovers?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tranmere the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Bristol Rovers.
- Where and when is Tranmere vs Bristol Rovers played?
- Tranmere vs Bristol Rovers is played on May 1, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Prenton Park, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.