Tranmere vs Swindon Town: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 24Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Prenton Park, Birkenhead, Merseyside
The Footlab model makes Swindon Town the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Tranmere. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tranmere vs Swindon Town?
Swindon Town starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,793 vs 1,640).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tranmere have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Swindon Town have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Port Vale(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shrewsbury(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rochdale(home) | 2-2 | League Cup |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Blackpool(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 2, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cheltenham(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Northampton(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cardiff(away) | 2-3 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Forest Green(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Leyton Orient(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tranmere win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Swindon Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Tranmere 0-1 Swindon Town | League Two |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Swindon Town 2-1 Tranmere | League Two |
| Jan 28, 2025 | Swindon Town 3-1 Tranmere | League Two |
| Oct 1, 2024 | Tranmere 1-1 Swindon Town | League Two |
| Feb 27, 2024 | Swindon Town 3-1 Tranmere | League Two |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Tranmere 2-1 Swindon Town | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Tranmere vs Swindon Town on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tranmere score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Swindon Town score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tranmere | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Swindon Town | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tranmere sit 4th in League Two (4 points from 2 matches) and Swindon Town sit 7th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Tranmere | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Swindon Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tranmere vs Swindon Town?
- The Footlab model makes Swindon Town the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Tranmere.
- Where and when is Tranmere vs Swindon Town played?
- Tranmere vs Swindon Town is played on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Prenton Park, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.