Trans Narva vs FC Levadia Tallinn: prediction and stats
MeistriliigaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Kalevi Staadion, Narva
The Footlab model makes FC Levadia Tallinn the favourite at 79%, against 14% for a draw and 7% for Trans Narva. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trans Narva vs FC Levadia Tallinn?
FC Levadia Tallinn is a heavy favourite: 1,840 Elo points against 1,463, a 377-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trans Narva have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; FC Levadia Tallinn have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Levadia Tallinn(away) | 0-4 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Paide(home) | 1-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kompanii Marjamaa(home) | 8-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kalju Nomme(home) | 0-2 | Meistriliiga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Nõmme United(away) | 2-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Trans Narva(home) | 4-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Laagri(away) | 2-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nõmme United(home) | 5-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Vaprus(away) | 1-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Jul 30, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(home) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Trans Narva win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 FC Levadia Tallinn win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Levadia Tallinn 4-0 Trans Narva | Meistriliiga |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Trans Narva 1-3 FC Levadia Tallinn | Meistriliiga |
| Apr 26, 2026 | FC Levadia Tallinn 7-0 Trans Narva | Meistriliiga |
| Jan 31, 2026 | FC Levadia Tallinn 0-0 Trans Narva | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Trans Narva 0-4 FC Levadia Tallinn | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 29, 2025 | FC Levadia Tallinn 3-1 Trans Narva | Meistriliiga |
Last archived meeting: FC Levadia Tallinn vs Trans Narva on Aug 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Trans Narva score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; FC Levadia Tallinn score 2.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trans Narva | 1.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| FC Levadia Tallinn | 2.8 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trans Narva sit 10th in Meistriliiga (17 points from 24 matches) and FC Levadia Tallinn sit 1st (56 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 61 | 18 | 56 |
| 10 | Trans Narva | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 18 | 55 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trans Narva vs FC Levadia Tallinn?
- The Footlab model makes FC Levadia Tallinn the favourite at 79%, against 14% for a draw and 7% for Trans Narva.
- Where and when is Trans Narva vs FC Levadia Tallinn played?
- Trans Narva vs FC Levadia Tallinn is played on September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Kalevi Staadion, in the Meistriliiga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.